Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.381821 0.436405 0.499311 0.577940 0.674690 0.791321 9.448662e-01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.306246 0.378023 0.470454 0.601617 0.788958 1.057245 1.492033e+00
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.252587 0.328440 0.433964 0.598397 0.862580 1.300986 2.166609e+00
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.220639 0.298811 0.414486 0.609401 0.956853 1.619971 3.231567e+00
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.189164 0.263158 0.377281 0.580315 0.970602 1.800357 4.206514e+00
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.164348 0.233280 0.342988 0.546583 0.962409 1.930742 5.233321e+00
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.146170 0.211097 0.317287 0.521861 0.963426 2.084823 6.607622e+00
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.140788 0.208504 0.323787 0.558752 1.111568 2.731331 1.164952e+01
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.139858 0.212963 0.343141 0.626315 1.365843 3.979940 2.765914e+01
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.135303 0.210475 0.349103 0.666839 1.572772 5.377366 6.792802e+01
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.129535 0.205057 0.348430 0.691946 1.750392 6.994613 1.975456e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.122605 0.196716 0.340613 0.697707 1.870215 8.593814 7.182129e+02
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.112539 0.182082 0.319024 0.666524 1.855768 9.400834 2.664307e+03
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.105716 0.173089 0.308462 0.663276 1.954724 11.572165 1.215239e+08
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.098864 0.163406 0.295196 0.649796 2.008444 13.689743 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.094344 0.157842 0.290231 0.658943 2.173367 18.268061 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.087502 0.147073 0.272269 0.625634 2.117575 19.472896 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.081030 0.136590 0.253944 0.587985 2.023411 19.752129 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.075769 0.128206 0.239696 0.560587 1.972183 20.903166 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.075003 0.128885 0.246574 0.601325 2.326608 36.656962 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.075836 0.132934 0.262095 0.676238 2.998507 98.287908 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.074900 0.133142 0.268219 0.721331 3.559324 260.481997 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.073199 0.131538 0.269509 0.749326 4.047007 793.100886 NaN